Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.062270 0.073639 0.086379 0.101695 0.119593 0.139832 0.164439
2025-05-11 0.045215 0.059991 0.078413 0.102994 0.134864 0.174708 0.228221
2025-05-18 0.036216 0.052538 0.074634 0.106573 0.151380 0.211801 0.299226
2025-05-25 0.028277 0.044237 0.067392 0.103177 0.156780 0.233722 0.352077
2025-06-01 0.023460 0.039188 0.063417 0.103082 0.165931 0.261073 0.415220
2025-06-08 0.019564 0.034683 0.059272 0.101668 0.172309 0.284442 0.474685
2025-06-15 0.017240 0.032250 0.057883 0.104185 0.184878 0.318483 0.554608
2025-06-22 0.014768 0.029075 0.054665 0.102965 0.190776 0.342029 0.619743
2025-06-29 0.012559 0.025960 0.051009 0.100299 0.193558 0.360283 0.677563
2025-07-06 0.010663 0.023096 0.047334 0.096961 0.194487 0.375086 0.730585
2025-07-13 0.009678 0.021880 0.046600 0.099079 0.205818 0.409879 0.824001
2025-07-20 0.008686 0.020472 0.045257 0.099744 0.214302 0.440114 0.911971
2025-07-27 0.007771 0.019098 0.043829 0.100138 0.222512 0.471201 1.006186
2025-08-03 0.007054 0.018056 0.042960 0.101611 0.233196 0.508525 1.117496
2025-08-10 0.006573 0.017485 0.043044 0.105183 0.248825 0.557721 1.258912
2025-08-17 0.005701 0.015789 0.040281 0.101836 0.248629 0.573399 1.330738
2025-08-24 0.005138 0.014780 0.038987 0.101745 0.255810 0.605793 1.442555
2025-08-31 0.004576 0.013668 0.037265 0.100348 0.259700 0.631210 1.541453
2025-09-07 0.004269 0.013202 0.037105 0.102834 0.273272 0.680168 1.699632
2025-09-14 0.003830 0.012277 0.035603 0.101630 0.277499 0.707674 1.810332
2025-09-21 0.003386 0.011252 0.033672 0.098996 0.277716 0.725547 1.899770
2025-09-28 0.002973 0.010239 0.031612 0.095700 0.275748 0.737795 1.976658
2025-10-05 0.002788 0.009915 0.031474 0.097792 0.288535 0.788472 2.155649